Analysis and Diagnosis
|
Results and more in-depth analysis of specific forecasts/cases, diagnosis of problems, relevant publications, and analysis tools.  Ensemble Forecast Quality[03.15.2017]
Focus is on the various metrics for assessing the quality of ensemble forecasts including consistency, reliability, resolution and skill.
» Read More (PDF)  ENSO Response[01.31.2017]
Examines how well NMME models are able to capture the ENSO responses in precipitation and two meter temperature over North America.
» Read More (PDF)  Baseline Evaluation of Forecasts[01.18.2017]
Summarizes some of the measures for evaluating/validating a forecast system and provides some examples from the NMME models of skill, potential predictability, forecast spread and variability.
» Read More (PDF) |
